Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.003930 0.004308 0.004714 0.005182 0.005710 0.006288 0.006971
2025-09-07 0.003291 0.003815 0.004418 0.005167 0.006081 0.007168 0.008574
2025-09-14 0.003008 0.003620 0.004358 0.005324 0.006571 0.008148 0.010328
2025-09-21 0.002696 0.003336 0.004136 0.005225 0.006693 0.008642 0.011491
2025-09-28 0.002452 0.003105 0.003945 0.005127 0.006782 0.009074 0.012591
2025-10-05 0.002286 0.002955 0.003839 0.005122 0.006982 0.009662 0.013971
2025-10-12 0.002181 0.002874 0.003814 0.005218 0.007324 0.010479 0.015796
2025-10-19 0.002038 0.002730 0.003687 0.005151 0.007411 0.010912 0.017057
2025-10-26 0.001929 0.002622 0.003601 0.005133 0.007565 0.011457 0.018569
2025-11-02 0.001815 0.002500 0.003485 0.005057 0.007615 0.011829 0.019822
2025-11-09 0.001743 0.002434 0.003444 0.005092 0.007844 0.012522 0.021755
2025-11-16 0.001657 0.002341 0.003356 0.005044 0.007925 0.012962 0.023264
2025-11-23 0.001550 0.002212 0.003210 0.004896 0.007837 0.013109 0.024265
2025-11-30 0.001481 0.002139 0.003146 0.004882 0.007982 0.013709 0.026317
2025-12-07 0.001453 0.002127 0.003177 0.005028 0.008426 0.014929 0.029941
2025-12-14 0.001378 0.002036 0.003076 0.004935 0.008420 0.015259 0.031605
2025-12-21 0.001309 0.001952 0.002979 0.004844 0.008405 0.015567 0.033275
2025-12-28 0.001262 0.001900 0.002933 0.004839 0.008557 0.016240 0.035981
2026-01-04 0.001235 0.001880 0.002939 0.004929 0.008903 0.017375 0.040130
2026-01-11 0.001184 0.001816 0.002866 0.004866 0.008933 0.017810 0.042486
2026-01-18 0.001144 0.001769 0.002820 0.004850 0.009057 0.018474 0.045642
2026-01-25 0.001098 0.001710 0.002748 0.004779 0.009057 0.018844 0.048017
2026-02-01 0.001071 0.001682 0.002730 0.004812 0.009285 0.019799 0.052434